olin 3q earnings

What's the trajectory of maintenance spending asset base case over the next several years?Jeff, there is a couple of things that drive the level of maintenance spending. Winchester experienced a 9% decline in adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2019 compared to the second quarter last year. In addition, global restraints on the supply side, particularly in Latin America, have emerged resulting in the need for additional caustic soda exports from the United States. Our average expense has been just under $20 million a year and it ranges anywhere from $38 million in a year to $8 million. Contents: Prepared Remarks; Questions and Answers; Call Participants; Prepared Remarks: Operator . We will see. During the second quarter of 2019, Olin's Epoxy business generated adjusted EBITDA of $29.7 million.

So we're confident in that. I can tell you that our inventories are at normal to slightly below normal levels right now.And the next question we have will come from John Roberts of UBS.Thank you. The first is bleach, which is seasonal. This is was chloro hydro-based epichlorohydrin. No question with the lackluster demand in Asia and in Europe. This is not indicative of a trend or harbinger of things to come.
And I also talked about what -- our large pipeline accounts, who primarily are in the European's business and we have typically seen somewhere in the 15% improvement year -- first half to second half in them.

So I'm assuming pricing SKUs some of the EBITDA benefit.

So the lower end, is it mainly just the volume doesn't come through? We immediately used the proceeds from the offering to prepay the Term Loan A facility and the outstanding borrowings under the accounts receivable securitization facility.As a result, we have effectively no prepayable debt outstanding. Should I think about the seasonality as 3Q is going to be higher than that average and 4Q below that?No. Starting with the midpoint of our adjusted EBITDA forecast, which is in the far left of the waterfall chart. From an EDC standpoint, there has been some movement that we've seen in Asia, and I think that's because of low ethylene pricing that's taking place. In terms of -- if you look at our chlorine demand historically, it is always been the strongest in Q3. During the second quarter and consistent with our early July update, Olin reported adjusted EBITDA of $204.6 million.Second quarter results were challenged by several factors across our business segments. And it was really -- this is out in the press, primarily around highly heading some environmental issues and capacity that has really gone down.Is there a fair amount of excess glycerin-based production that can still come back to market here that kind of pulling the pricing continues up?I would say the honest answer right now is hard to tell. So you probably are hearing and seeing some of the spot volumes that are moving to Asia that have reduced some numbers. We also had once every 6-year maintenance at both of the Epoxy plans, part of that occurred late in 2017, part of that occurred in 2018. We expect to see an improvement in commercial sales and volumes across all product categories and in military and law enforcement sales volumes.This should lead to a stronger overall performance during the year, second half. We continue to expect Winchester's results for the full year of 2019 to be comparable to the full year levels achieved in 2018. However, ongoing supply disruptions in China have tightened epichlorohydrin supply. So I think most of this is around chloro hydrant-based and that is, of course, most of the capacity in China is chloro hydrate-based.And then follow-up on Winchester. We said earlier that over the last 3 years that we've owned the Dow businesses, we've seen about 45% of our EBITDA be generated in the first half, 55% in the second half and pricing can skew that all over the place. So as you guys think about your sort of forecast looking for higher caustic prices in the back half, are you factoring in that capacity coming on stream?I guess, what I would say that it is a small facility, that's a restart in the whole scheme of things in terms of the capacity that's $13 million in North America. This is the 371st consecutive quarterly dividend to be paid by the company. And that plant restart we wouldn't expect to have any impact on the overall supply/demand outlook.Understood.

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